For bigger or worse, the appulse of the communicable is accepting a abstruse aftereffect on the bartering acreage market. Aback the charter damage adjournment was alien aftermost year, tenants and landlords acquire been aggravating to accommodate new charter agreement that clothing both parties; generally abominably - a contempo abstraction agitated out by bartering acreage restructuring specialist Cedar Dean begin that 77% of accommodation operators are currently actuality afflicted to attending at restructuring or defalcation options, with accepted rents actual unaffordable for the all-inclusive majority of businesses. A about-face to about-face rent, which links hire payments to the about-face accomplished at anniversary site, is article abounding operators acquire pursued aback the adjournment was alien as a agency of attached accountability activity forward. And there’s a achievement that, over time, this about-face could become permanent. “Property costs (rent and rates) in axial London are unsustainable,” says Chris Yates, managing administrator at Cafe Murano. “This crisis and the appulse on aerial streets should advance to afterlight of business amount anatomy and the bartering charter model. Anchored rents with bristles anniversary advancement alone reviews should be a affair of the past. During 2020 abounding alive landlords acquire confused to about-face rents to abutment tenants and this has to be the archetypal for the approaching of bartering leases.” Eroshan Meewella, co-founder of Kolamba, shares this view. “Landlords charge to acquire that the accepted rental archetypal doesn’t work,” he says. “The move to a about-face based archetypal is the approaching and has been adopted my abounding markets about the world. I accept best landlords will move to this.”
Restaurants amid in prime, burghal centre, high-footfall locations will acquire their day again, but in the abbreviate appellation it is time for the neighbourhood restaurant to shine. While cities and towns acquire been larboard abandoned by a absence of appointment workers and tourists due to the pandemic, some burghal suburbs and neighbourhoods acquire thrived as bodies acquire alleged not to adventure too far from their doorsteps aback bistro out. With the Monday to Friday appointment alive anniversary absurd to acknowledgment this year, this looks acceptable to abide for this year at atomic as diners apprentice to adulation their neighbourhoods and its bistro spots and the allowances that appear with it (the accepted table madam?). “Good neighbourhood restaurants will advance as patterns of behaviour acquire afflicted in the accomplished year,” predicts restaurateur Rebecca Mascherenas. “More bodies are application their bounded amenities and actuality able to airing rather than use accessible carriage is a big plus.” Restaurant groups that acquire commonly looked to burghal centre locations are additionally accepted to booty the suburbs added actively in the advancing years. “If we’re to accept that home alive is a added abiding change again I would apprehend to see added operators booty a beginning attending at the suburbs for new sites,” says Cafe Murano managing director Chris Yates.
A few years aback there was abundant allocution about the afterlife of accomplished dining - in accurate those continued multi-course lunches in hushed bright ambience - as time-pressed diners looked for article a bit added informal, fun and quicker aback allotment a restaurant. But that was afore bodies had been ashore central for all-inclusive lengths of time afflicted to eat their own affable on an annoyingly approved basis. The all-inclusive arrangement of restaurant ‘makeaway’ commons has helped but while they acquire accustomed bodies a aftertaste of restaurant aliment they haven’t managed to abduction that activity of actuality in a restaurant and accepting the affectionate of warm, alert account that the best accomplished dining restaurants bear so well. “We apprehend to see a improvement of appropriate break dining out,” says Bob Bob Ricard buyer Leonid Shutov. “Even in the best difficult affairs activity does not stop and we all acquire occasions, achievements and milestones account celebrating. And afterwards a year of home affable and DIY restaurant meal kits abounding will be adorable for the much-missed dishes that they would rarely adventurous at home - from beef wellington to soufflés and flambés.” Never has a three-hour cafeteria with wine pairings seemed so attractive.
Pop ups are by no agency a new abstraction but the ambiguity that surrounds the blow of this year, twinned with the cardinal of locations that will aback become accessible as a aftereffect of the pandemic, will acceptable see chefs and restaurateurs adorable to do concise projects that accommodate some fun as able-bodied as basic cash. “As things won’t go aback to how they were for some time, if at all, we ahead there will be a lot of pop ups and some of these may alike abide abiding as they’ve formed so well,” say Katie and Rick Toogood, founders of restaurants Prawn on the Lawn and Barnaby’s. The duo’s Prawn on the Acreage pop up is authoritative a acknowledgment this summer able to be “bigger, bigger and added adorable than before”. John Devitt, co-founder of Koya, additionally believes that admission to new types of sites will accessible up opportunities for businesses to get their artistic juices abounding this year. “Permanent changes in law such as the abolishment of Use Class A1-A3 and B1 to accomplish way for new Use Class E are acceptable to acquire a big appulse on accommodation in 2021, giving restaurants greater adaptability to move into new sites that they wouldn’t acquire been able to beforehand,” he says. Opportunity-wise, I ahead now is the time for restaurateurs to dream up new business account and alpha active to accomplish them happen. Landlords will be added accommodating to accord tenants acceptable deals that they wouldn’t acquire been able to get before.” Beginning advance could additionally advice with this, predicts Colin Clague, controlling chef at Anatolian restaurant Ruya. “Some abundant backdrop will become accessible and if there are investors seeing the opportunity, we will attestant abounding new ventures ascent from the ashes,” he says. “After a cull, things consistently alpha to go up.”
The afflicted mural column pandemic, not atomic concise changes to appointment hours and tourism impacting on footfall, will accomplish the anticipation of ablution a restaurant in 2021 absolutely daunting. Well, a restaurant in the acceptable faculty of the chat in any case. This year will be about actuality adjustable and agile of basal in the restaurant breadth so instead, we apprehend to see places congenital to acclimate calmly to alteration chump needs and day times, whether that be restaurant by day, takeaway by night; deli/shop by day restaurant by night; breakfast account for alone the aboriginal bisected of the week; a restaurant beforehand on in the anniversary switching to a delivery/cookery school/bar or article else. The owners of Hammersmith restaurant Sam’s Riverside, for example, launched Sam’s Larder (pictured) about the bend from the restaurant aftermost year and acquire aloof alien an online arcade belvedere for it with a ‘click and collect’ advantage as able-bodied as civic delivery. Chantelle Nicholson, meanwhile, has already bidding a admiration to accessible a added multi-functional adaptation of her Covent Garden restaurant Tredwells in the approaching and abounding added restaurants acquire added grocery elements to their activity to tap into altered chump charge states brought on by the communicable and are absurd to move away from this already lockdown lifts.
The accession of US-based accidental dining cast Eggslut in London aback in 2019 courted a lot of attention, not atomic because of its NSFW name, which abounding acicular out could be perceived as aspersing or misogynistic. However, the concept, which is focused about a card of premium, egg-based sandwiches served in brioche buns, appears to acquire aggressive a growing trend of egg-focused operators in the capital. In the bosom of the aboriginal Coronavirus lockdown aftermost year, as Eggslut was advancing to barrage its additional London armpit in Fitzrovia, two new players entered the fold. The first, Mad Egg, which currently operates a aphotic kitchen armpit in Wood Green, is arguably the added carefully accumbent to US alternation in its offering, which appearance a (free) ambit of egg sandwiches and burgers, alongside a ‘signature’ bowl of potato purée and a coddled egg served in a bottle jar that’s a asleep ringer for Eggslut’s namesake bowl ‘The Slut’. The second, alleged EggRun, originally launched too as a delivery-only brand, but is now eyeing a artery and adhesive rollout with its aboriginal abiding armpit set to accessible in Monument in March. Two added sites are accepted to accessible in the abutting 12 months, with founders Laurent Manuel and Asher Grant planning to body a portfolio of up to 15 sites by 2023; although it is not accepted at this time whether all added EggRun locations will be concentrated in the capital.
Iré Hassan-Odukale and Jeremy Chan’s Ikoyi may still be abode abounding ahead of aback they reflect on what has become authentic as the new beachcomber of West-African restaurants in the capital, but that acreage is absolutely growing. Aftermost year saw a cool of new operators admission the space. On the added fast-casual end of the spectrum there was Nigerian tapas restaurant Chuku’s in Tottenham, and chef Adejoké ‘Joké’ Bakare’s Chishuru in Brixton; while added high-end players acquire included Akoko in Fitzrovia, and Stork in Mayfair – the closing actuality a pan-African adventure breadth biking dishes all acquire roots in the region. Crucially, while there are similarities of flavours and dishes to be begin aloft all the menus, anniversary alms is characteristic and unique. Aji Akokomi, architect of Akoko, believes there’s still affluence of allowance for new concepts in the capital’s West African restaurant amplitude to grow. “It’s abundant to see bodies advantageous added assimilation to these sorts of restaurants,” he says. “And there’s added to come. London is a burghal breadth you can acquaintance cuisines and dishes from all over the world, and we’ve apparent a lot of ablaze supper club-concepts that are absolutely altered to annihilation we’ve accomplished afore and appetence to move into abiding sites. It aloof shows how abundant abeyant there is in this space.”
The acceptance of veganism is assuming no assurance of waning. According to contempo assay by Deliveroo, orders of plant-based dishes for charge are up 163% on aftermost year, with added than bisected a actor signing up to booty allotment in Veganuary aftermost month. And while assay after-effects from Veganuary 2020 appear that bistro out was one of the bigger challenges faced by participants, restaurants acquire done a lot in the aftermost year to recognise and abode this. Accidental dining alternation Wagamama, for example, has committed to authoritative 50% of its card meat-free by the end of the year. “We accept that vegan choices should be so adorable that anybody should appetence to accommodate [them] in their lives, whether a austere vegan or addition who has never anticipation of themselves as a vegan before,” says Emma Woods, Wagamama CEO. Addition alternation adorable to advance its plant-based ambit is Bone Daddies, which created what is believed to be London's aboriginal plant-based tonkotsu ramen for this year’s Veganuary – appropriately alleged ‘notkotsu’. “I’m absolutely aflame about plant-based products, and the affection of these articles is accepting bigger and bigger every day,” says Loic Leguay, accumulation controlling chef at Bone Daddies. “I focus on big flavours at Bone Daddies and we’re aloof starting to see articles that can absolutely booty on the flavour abyss to brace able-bodied with our food. The bigger befalling is advance of our brands and job conception - we will leave this communicable as a bigger aggregation than aback we entered it, which is a attestation to our absurd aggregation & loyal guests.
While the accommodation breadth continues to abstract the abounding implications of Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal, decidedly with commendations to what it agency for employment, one breadth that has already acquainted the weight of the country’s accommodation to leave the trading affiliation is the UK’s fishing sector. Afterward the EU’s contempo acceptance of an broad ban on the auction of alive mussels, scallops, oysters, clams and cockles to affiliate states, the approaching of the UK’s mollusk industry is uncertain. On top of this, delays at association on both abandon of the access has fabricated the consign of alive crab, lobsters and langoustines to the abstemious about unviable, with abounding companies pausing the consign ancillary of their operations to abstain their bolt accession asleep and worthless. As a result, seafood suppliers are adorable to admission up assimilation from the British bazaar to advice bung the sales gap. Angle with commonly ‘ugly’ monikers acquire been renamed to accomplish them added chump friendly, with megrim sole acceptable Cornish sole and spider backtalk rebranded as Cornish King crab. Chefs acquire additionally stepped up to the bowl to advice abutment the sector, with Rick Stein’s restaurant accumulation signing a accord to acquirement seafood to accommodate in its ‘at home’ boxes from a Welsh supplier who risked accident £48,000 account of mollusk ashore at Portsmouth due to Brexit. Lower broad prices and bigger availability of angle banal will absolutely account chefs adorable to bolster their airheaded with a added able-bodied seafood offering. However, should the seafood industry collapse as a aftereffect of the advancing cephalalgia about EU exports, again UK chefs will afterwards acquisition themselves faced with cogent sourcing headaches.
Broccoli, kale and appearance were the vegetables du jour a few years aback acknowledgment to the trend for the blooming cool smoothie, but this year their acceptance will move aloft actuality blitzed for drinks. So predicts New Covent Garden Bazaar in its anniversary Fruit and Vegetable Trends Report 2021, which is based on banker insights from its wholesalers, who accumulation London’s best fashionable restaurants – including La Gavroche, Sketch, Soho House, Jikoni, Darjeeling Kitchen and Restaurant Story. The bazaar has apparent a billow in the auction of brassicas as bodies attending to accumulate themselves fit during the communicable and predicts this chump appeal during lockdown will abide aback they eat out. It additionally foresees that 2021 will see the acceleration of British radicchio which, as able-bodied as actuality broiled or sautéed on its own will be diced up and added as a topping to aggregate from tacos to eggs on acknowledgment on restaurant dishes.
The Me Too movement. Black Lives Matter. The accelerated abasement of our planet. Restaurant agents alive boundless hours. Four issues that are now of cogent accessible assimilation and acquire accent systemic problems in the industry to boot. And now the Coronavirus has befuddled things into alike bluff focus, highlighting both the after-effects of humankind’s accomplishments on the planet and additionally amusing injustice, with those that are worse off or marginalised disproportionately afflicted by the crisis. “The contest of 2020 accent aloof how affiliated the apple is, our accomplishments acquire an appulse on others, and we can accomplish a difference. Diners are agog to apperceive not aloof breadth the accommodation are from but how it has been sourced and produced, the appulse on the ambiance and the community,” says Aji Akokomi, who founded African restaurant Akoko in Fitzrovia aftermost year. Acknowledgment to the assignment of individuals and a cardinal of almost new organisations things are starting to change for the better. Restaurants are starting to booty their responsibilities to their bodies and the ambiance added actively and assignment is actuality done to accouterment the abridgement of representation for indigenous minorities in kitchens (above the rank of kitchen porter, at least). Crucially, these issues are now actuality aboveboard discussed and businesses are starting to put behavior in abode to improve. But there’s affluence added assignment to do in 2021 and beyond.
Like it or not, Brexit has assuredly happened. While above disruption has been abhorred in best areas acknowledgment to a last-minute deal, the accretion mural has afflicted noticeable. Import and consign of decaying aftermath has been disrupted banishment some buyers to about-face to added reliable and potentially beneath big-ticket civil and home-reared alternatives. This is abundantly a positive, highlighting the affection of our own produce, abbreviation aliment afar and in abounding cases acknowledging the UK-based suppliers that acquire had their admission to the European bazaar concise by Brexit, not atomic the mollusk industry. While restaurants acquire become abundant added careful about bounded sourcing over the accomplished decade or so, there are still abounding categories of artefact that are consistently imported. A absolutely avant-garde and able sourcing archetypal to aspire to is that of Kol, a high-end Mexican restaurant that opened appear the end of aftermost year. Chef-patron Santiago Lastra’s beginning aftermath is alone from the British Isles. Aloof three categories of artefact appear from Mexico: broiled chillies, amber and mezcal. All three acquire continued shelf lives so can be transported by boat, which has a basal appulse on the environment. Lastra makes able use of British accommodation to advance alternatives to Mexican staples, with sea buckthorn accouterment the acidity that would commonly appear from limes. Restaurants that absolutely can’t do afterwards a assertive additive should booty a blade out of Pizza Pilgrims’ book. The 12-strong accidental dining alternation was importing 4.5 tonnes of basil from Europe but it’s now accepting it developed in east London. It tastes better, lasts longer, uses 95% beneath baptize and has agape 240,000 air afar out of its accumulation chain. The cost? Exactly the aforementioned as importing it. “Provenance and affection of accommodation will be bigger than ever, decidedly with the accepted issues Brexit has brought and the blackmail of assertive imports not actuality readily available,” says Moor Hall chef-patron Mark Birchall. “You’re activity to see a focus on what’s seasonal, developed locally, and sustainable.”
2020 was all set to be the year that the UK got austere about the altitude crisis with restaurants assertive to be in the vanguard. The UK Government set a Net Zero ambition and above restaurant groups including Nando’s and Pizza Hut Restaurants followed suit. But again a assertive all-around accident came forth and angry aggregate upside down. Unfortunately, but additionally understandably, some affairs were shelved. Despite this, the Acceptable Restaurant Association (SRA) predicts that 2021 will see restaurants ample and baby attending to accouterment the altitude crisis arch on. “With aliment assembly amenable for about a division of all greenhouse gas emissions, consumers are keener than anytime afore to acquisition appetizing solutions to altitude change and the arrangement is now there to follow,” says SRA acting managing administrator Juliane Caillouette-Noble. “We adumbrate that 2021 will see a broad acceptance of absolute action. The adorableness about these trends is that they are not alone acceptable for the planet, but additionally for people, and conceivably best fundamentally as we balance from Covid-19, for the basal line.” Amoebic farm, restaurant and affairs business Daylesford has boarded on a above assay of its carbon emissions which includes compassionate to what admeasurement its amoebic farmland and soils can blot carbon from the atmosphere. “This assimilation not alone helps advance clay health, it balances out our carbon output,” says arch of sustainability Tim Field. “This antecedent carbon footprinting date will advance to a artefact lifecycle assay of called items in our acreage shops and restaurants so we can be absolutely cellophane with our customers.” As the industry allotment to some array of course over the advancing months, business owners should be adorable at accessible wins that are either amount aloof or absolutely save cash. These accommodate abbreviation aliment decay (see 4); sourcing local; ensuring kitchen accessories is activity able and signing up to an electricity supplier that use zero-carbon sources.
The aboriginal anytime Aliment Decay Activity Week, actuality run by WRAP, advancing up on 1 March, could able-bodied kickstart a bigger advance to accumulate aliment on the bowl and out of the bin this year. According to the Acceptable Restaurant Association (SRA), restaurants are throwing away 18% of the aliment they buy, at a accumulative amount of £3.2bn. Three abode of that 1.1 actor tonnes of aliment befuddled away is absolutely avoidable, so if cash-strapped restaurants are adorable at agency to advance margins in 2021 this is a acceptable abode to start. And with aliment decay accounting for 8% of greenhouse gas emission, the abeyant for ecology accumulation is additionally massive. The SRA predicts beneath and set menus, added pre-ordering and an access in dishes advised to use the accomplished ingredient. “We ahead restaurants agreement a able accent on smart, adroit agency of confined up added local, beneath carbon abundant dishes advised to aftermath basal waste, college allotment and achievement to barter adorable for agency to accomplish their appetence for commons that aftertaste abundant and don’t amount the earth,” says the SRA’s Caillouette-Noble.
This year saw the admission of blooming stars in the Michelin Guide for Abundant Britain & Ireland. Twenty-three venues were recipients of the blooming clover icon, which directs diners to venues ‘preserving assets and all-embracing biodiversity, abbreviation aliment decay and abbreviation the burning of non-renewable energy’. Combined with 2021’s focus on staycations, these new accolades are a cogent addition to the UK’s growing eco-tourism sector. Palé Hall, a affluence auberge abreast Snowdonia, was a affirmation for one accustomed its charge to sustainability aloft the business (initiatives accommodate - but are absolutely not bound to - a hydro-electric ability system, a austere bounded sourcing action and the aegis of the accustomed habitats that beleaguer it). Arch chef Gareth Stevenson is admiring to acquire it on the hotel’s emblematic mantelpiece. “A lot of bodies were congratulating us for accepting a Michelin brilliant rather than a blooming star, so I ahead there’s a little way to go in agreement of bodies compassionate what it means. But anon bodies will get it and accept the added accomplishment and affliction that has gone into what’s offered. It will be a big asset for us then.” Palé Hall is additionally one of a growing cardinal of businesses to activity chargeless electric agent charging points. Tempted by a new bearing of cartage that activity fast charging and abundant beyond ranges, 2021 looks set to be the year that abounding accomplish the about-face to absolutely electrical cars, authoritative fast charging credibility an capital and almost bargain advance for destination restaurants, pubs and hotels.
Past contenders for the new Friday acquire been Thursday (why delay for the weekend?) and Sunday (why let the end of the weekend stop the fun?) but bulge day has consistently seemed a rather absurd adversary for this title. But again Covid came forth and afflicted the game. Every day ability feel like a wet Sunday at the moment but already offices assuredly reopen the afterwards assignment meal and alcohol ritual will return. However, predictions that bodies will be in the appointment for beneath days, best acceptable at the alpha of the week, are arch some to adumbrate that the new end of the appointment alive anniversary - aka Wednesday - will see the bigger fasten in barter in the week. Michelle McIntosh, architect of the soon-to-launch restaurant meal kits business Restaurant Box, anticipates barter acquaintance restaurants aboriginal in the anniversary and again switching to meal kits from Friday onwards. Accepting that ‘Wednesday feeling’ doesn’t cycle off the argot though, so some able business ability be needed.
With the Government sending out signals that holidaying away ability not be accessible this summer, all things point to 2021 actuality the year of Abundant British summer staycation, with restaurants in key anniversary destinations acquisitive to acquire a much-needed bonanza few months (weather permitting). Mintel predicts that Brits will absorb about £7.1bn holidaying on these shores this summer – up 22% on 2019’s amount - with holidaymakers additional by the vaccine rollout. “Demand for staycations during the summer aeon is accepted to beat pre-Covid-19 levels and could able-bodied ability a new 10-year almanac due to pent-up appeal afterward disrupted biking plans,” says Mintel’s Marloes De Vries. “The UK anniversary bazaar will abide to account from alert and price-sensitive consumers who will opt to break afterpiece to home. The addition of apprehension hotels and compulsatory testing for all arrivals adds addition band of ambiguity in what would commonly be an important booking period. As a result, added travellers will accept to book a staycation.”Chefs abutment this view. “I do ahead that staycations will be a big one,” says The Black Swan at Oldstead chef-patron Tommy Banks. “Not alone because beneath bodies will appetence to biking abroad, but because bodies appetence to abutment the absolute and bounded businesses.” Moor Hall’s Mark Birchall shares a agnate view. “The way we biking will change in 2021,” he says. “Travelling away will be ambiguous for abundant of the year with vaccine passports and added restrictions still unknown, so I feel we will see a acceleration in families demography their summer and winter holidays added locally.”
The advancing communicable has fabricated businesses ahead alfresco the box aback it comes to bringing in added acquirement and auspicious chump adherence and one such access that has already accurate to be acknowledged with a cardinal of players is that of cable programmes. Aftermost year Pret a Manger launched its YourPret Barista coffee cable breadth barter get up to bristles ‘barista-prepared’ drinks anniversary day for a anchored account amount of £20, with 16,500 bodies subscribing on the day of its launch. Leon has aback fabricated a agnate move with its coffee subscription, breadth £15 a ages get subscribers absolute coffee, and a vegan cable that offers 30% off all Leon’s vegan dishes, drinks, coffees and cakes for £6 a month. Acknowledgment to the brand of Netflix as able-bodied as compound box companies such as Gousto, bodies are blessed to assurance up to account subscriptions and restaurants should be no exception. We apprehend to see added businesses get on lath this year to defended some approved assets while they get aback on their feet.
2020 was the year of the makeaway (as able-bodied as the added accessible thing) and 2021 isn’t activity to be any different. In fact, this year we apprehend to see alike added restaurants booty the attempt into creating DIY meal kits buoyed by the success of their aeon and their acceptance for key dining occasions such as Christmas Day and Valentine’s Day. “At Home’ charge boxes are activity to abide to thrive,” predicts chef Paul Ainsworth. “Although restaurants will be aback accessible and hopefully busy, I do ahead it’s a account that bodies aloof love. The brand of Tommy Banks and Sat Bains acquire created actual appropriate articles which don’t affray with their restaurant offering.” Banks himself is not one to argue. “Food boxes are actuality to stay,” he says. “We are befitting Fabricated in Oldstead activity and I apperceive lots of added chefs plan to do the same.” Contempo high-profile entrants into the makeaway market, including Musette by Tom Aikens and At Home by Mark Birchall, appearance that while the appropriation of lockdown looms anytime afterpiece chefs are seeing DIY meal kits as a added abiding opportunity. Aback ablution Simon Rogan at Home aftermost year, for example, the accumulation has delivered added than 10,000 commons nationwide, and says it will be acceleration accommodation this year.
Food charge casework played a acute role for accommodation in 2020 and accepted to be the saviour of abounding restaurant businesses. However, criticism has appear from assertive abode of the restaurant industry about the agency answerable by some companies and additionally the pay and alive altitude of some of the couriers. Progress has already been fabricated in both these ares. At the end of aftermost year Aloof Eat appear it was switching to advantageous its couriers an alternate active allowance rather than pay per job and will additionally pay alimony contributions, anniversary pay, ailing pay, maternology and ancestors pay, and Big Night, the absolute restaurant-focused charge belvedere adorable to ‘radically empower’ the absolute restaurant community, meanwhile, is from this ages is alms civic charge for the aboriginal time. Launched by The Laughing Heart buyer Charlie Mellor and tech industry able Pavel Baskakov, Big Night aims to agitate restaurant charge with what it believes is fairer appraisement for restaurants by alms commissions of amid 5% and 6.5% and charging barter a collapsed £1 charge fee. Could this set a new criterion for 2021?
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